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 Andy Iskoe´s Power Rankings  

LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Tennessee 111.46 1.94 112.43 110.49
2 N.Y. Giants 110.44 0.78 110.83 110.05
3 Green Bay 107.69 2.29 108.83 106.54
4 Pittsburgh 107.43 1.09 107.97 106.88
5 Tampa Bay 106.19 1.14 106.76 105.62
6 Philadelphia 105.86 0.20 105.96 105.76
7 Carolina 105.38 -3.89 103.43 107.32
8 Baltimore 105.20 4.96 107.68 102.72
9 Arizona 103.10 3.96 105.08 101.12
10 Indianapolis 102.90 2.16 103.98 101.82
11 Chicago 102.86 3.63 104.67 101.04
12 Atlanta 102.65 0.04 102.67 102.63
13 N.Y. Jets 102.57 0.35 102.74 102.39
14 Minnesota 101.77 5.16 104.35 99.19
15 San Diego 101.48 1.58 102.27 100.69
16 Dallas 101.02 2.03 102.03 100.00
17 Jacksonville 100.61 3.88 102.55 98.67
18 New Orleans 100.51 -1.47 99.78 101.25
19 Washington 99.93 3.33 101.60 98.27
20 Miami 99.73 2.06 100.76 98.70
21 Cleveland 99.70 0.77 100.08 99.31
22 New England 99.62 -0.95 99.15 100.10
23 Buffalo 97.42 1.73 98.28 96.55
24 Denver 96.79 3.59 98.58 94.99
25 Houston 96.18 4.37 98.36 93.99
26 San Francisco 93.57 3.56 95.35 91.79
27 Seattle 93.39 5.12 95.95 90.83
28 Cincinnati 92.95 -0.45 92.72 93.17
29 Kansas City 90.82 3.73 92.68 88.95
30 Oakland 89.55 1.43 90.27 88.84
31 Detroit 87.85 5.61 90.65 85.04
32 St. Louis 83.39 4.08 85.43 81.35
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 N.Y. Giants 105.39 0.78 105.78 105.00
2 Dallas 105.26 2.03 106.28 104.25
3 Philadelphia 104.59 0.20 104.69 104.49
4 Indianapolis 104.44 2.16 105.52 103.36
5 San Diego 104.38 1.58 105.17 103.59
6 Pittsburgh 103.88 1.09 104.42 103.33
7 New England 103.07 -0.95 102.59 103.54
8 Jacksonville 102.88 3.88 104.82 100.94
9 Tennessee 102.33 1.94 103.30 101.36
10 Tampa Bay 102.18 1.14 102.75 101.61
11 Carolina 101.98 -3.89 100.03 103.92
12 Washington 101.90 3.33 103.56 100.23
13 Buffalo 101.25 1.73 102.12 100.39
14 Minnesota 101.13 5.16 103.71 98.55
15 Arizona 101.06 3.96 103.04 99.08
16 N.Y. Jets 100.89 0.35 101.06 100.71
17 Denver 100.63 3.59 102.43 98.84
18 Green Bay 100.53 2.29 101.67 99.38
19 Chicago 100.20 3.63 102.01 98.38
20 New Orleans 100.02 -1.47 99.29 100.76
21 Houston 99.48 4.37 101.67 97.30
22 Miami 98.51 2.06 99.54 97.48
23 Baltimore 97.94 4.96 100.42 95.46
24 Cleveland 97.63 0.77 98.01 97.24
25 Seattle 97.39 5.12 99.95 94.83
26 San Francisco 97.34 3.56 99.12 95.56
27 Atlanta 97.08 0.04 97.10 97.06
28 Cincinnati 95.18 -0.45 94.95 95.40
29 St. Louis 93.76 4.08 95.80 91.72
30 Detroit 93.12 5.61 95.93 90.32
31 Oakland 92.98 1.43 93.69 92.26
32 Kansas City 91.60 3.73 93.47 89.74
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Tennessee 109.13 1.94 110.10 108.16
2 Baltimore 107.26 4.96 109.74 104.78
3 Green Bay 107.16 2.29 108.30 106.01
4 Atlanta 105.57 0.04 105.59 105.55
5 N.Y. Giants 105.06 0.78 105.45 104.67
6 Tampa Bay 104.00 1.14 104.57 103.43
7 Pittsburgh 103.55 1.09 104.09 103.00
8 Carolina 103.40 -3.89 101.46 105.35
9 Chicago 102.66 3.63 104.47 100.84
10 Cleveland 102.07 0.77 102.46 101.69
11 Arizona 102.03 3.96 104.01 100.05
12 N.Y. Jets 101.68 0.35 101.86 101.51
13 Philadelphia 101.28 0.20 101.38 101.18
14 Miami 101.22 2.06 102.25 100.19
15 Minnesota 100.64 5.16 103.22 98.06
16 New Orleans 100.49 -1.47 99.76 101.23
17 Kansas City 99.22 3.73 101.08 97.35
18 Indianapolis 98.46 2.16 99.54 97.38
19 Washington 98.04 3.33 99.70 96.37
20 Cincinnati 97.77 -0.45 97.55 98.00
21 Jacksonville 97.74 3.88 99.68 95.80
22 San Diego 97.10 1.58 97.89 96.31
23 Houston 96.69 4.37 98.88 94.51
24 Oakland 96.58 1.43 97.29 95.86
25 New England 96.55 -0.95 96.08 97.03
26 San Francisco 96.23 3.56 98.01 94.45
27 Buffalo 96.16 1.73 97.03 95.30
28 Denver 96.15 3.59 97.95 94.36
29 Seattle 96.00 5.12 98.56 93.44
30 Dallas 95.76 2.03 96.77 94.74
31 Detroit 94.73 5.61 97.53 91.92
32 St. Louis 89.63 4.08 91.67 87.59
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
Updated Wed Nov 19 9:45 AM EDT
-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.

 
 
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